By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 15 (TNS NEWS) – The next global oil shock may not begin with crude. It may begin inside the world’s refineries. Diesel refining margins have exploded to record levels across Europe and the United States, exposing a critical weakness in the global energy system: having crude…
By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 11 – Developed by Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed, the Global Macro Risk Index evaluates ten systemic threats across four analytical dimensions: probability, economic severity, transmission velocity and cross-border contagion. Its analytical architecture is clear: **Shock → inflation → monetary tightening → currency pressure → sovereign stress → poverty and social unrest. “The global…
With the US naval blockade reinstated and oil above US$86 a barrel, Dr Alicia García Herrero tells TNS News that China’s yuan diplomacy, ASEAN’s balancing act and Malaysia’s neutral positioning are all being tested at once By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, July 16 – Just weeks after markets began pricing in relief…
Reduced geopolitical tail risks after the US-Iran talks are triggering a structural rotation of global capital toward ASEAN, the Gulf and Africa — regions increasingly positioned to anchor the next phase of global growth, says Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed. By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, April 16 – The conclusion…
With the Global Macro Risk Index pointing to a Stress Regime and oil sitting above US$100 per barrel, Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed argues that the risks of 2026 are not hidden — they are visible, measurable, and continuously repriced. The challenge, he says, is not awareness. It is interpretation. BY TENGKU NOOR…
