AMRO Keeps ASEAN+3 Growth Forecast at 4% as Middle East Conflict Lifts Inflation Risks

SINGAPORE, June 2 — The ASEAN+3 region is expected to maintain economic growth of 4.0 per cent in 2026 despite the prolonged Middle East conflict, although inflation is now projected to rise faster than previously anticipated, according to the ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO). In its June 2026 Interim Update of the ASEAN+3 Regional Economic Outlook,…

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ENERGY SECURITY

Malaysia Faces Energy Shock as Hormuz Crisis Threatens 38% of Oil Supply Bank Muamalat economist Dr Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid warns elevated global oil prices and rising business costs could persist even if a ceasefire holds BY TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, April 17 – Rising tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are…

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TNS NEWS | ECONOMICS & MARKETS See the Risk Before It Sees You: Shan Saeed on the Global Macro Stress Regime of 2026

With the Global Macro Risk Index pointing to a Stress Regime and oil sitting above US$100 per barrel, Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed argues that the risks of 2026 are not hidden — they are visible, measurable, and continuously repriced. The challenge, he says, is not awareness. It is interpretation. BY TENGKU NOOR…

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TNS NEWS • ECONOMY & ANALYSIS Malaysia Resilient but Reform Cannot Wait, Says Economist Prof Geoffrey Williams

With oil prices above US$100 costing RM4 billion a month in RON95 subsidies, Williams says behavioural change is urgently needed and that Malaysia can emerge stronger if today’s challenges become a catalyst for reform. By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, April 7 – Malaysia’s economy is under pressure from an oil price shock,…

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Oil Is No Longer a Commodity. It Is Now the Global Economy’s Most Powerful Force

Brent’s surge above US$100 signals a structural shift in how geopolitics, inflation and financial markets interact. Oil markets are increasingly shaped by geopolitics and strategic chokepoints, with tensions around the Strait of Hormuz amplifying global energy risk premiums. KEY TAKEAWAYS Oil is now driving the global macro cycle. Brent crude near US$104 per barrel, up…

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