Emerging Markets

# GLOBAL MACRO RISK INDEX: TEN FAULT LINES RESHAPING THE WORLD ECONOMY

tgnoor2 months ago05 mins

By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, Sept 11 – Developed by Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed, the Global Macro Risk Index evaluates ten systemic threats across four analytical dimensions: probability, economic severity, transmission velocity and cross-border contagion. Its analytical architecture is clear: **Shock → inflation → monetary tightening → currency pressure → sovereign stress → poverty and social unrest. “The global…

Complementarity Over Competition: The Five Economies Reshaping ASEAN

tgnoor4 months ago08 mins

Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam are increasingly shaping ASEAN’s long-term economic trajectory. According to Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed, their greatest strength lies not in competing with one another, but in the complementary roles they play across manufacturing, finance, technology, resources and services. By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR,…

TO REDUCE GLOBAL POVERTY, INVESTING IN GIRLS’ EDUCATION IS SMARTEST ECONOMIC STRATEGY

tgnoor4 months ago4 months ago05 mins

BY SHAN SAEED KUALA LUMPUR, June 14 — During my visit to Indonesia in April 2026, one observation became increasingly clear: the future prosperity of nations will be determined not merely by their natural resources, industrial capacity, or technological prowess, but by how effectively they develop and deploy their human capital—particularly that of women. Across the…

THE FABULOUS FIVE — ASEAN’S STRATEGIC ECONOMIC NUCLEUS

tgnoor5 months ago5 months ago02 mins

By Shan Saeed, Global Chief Economist, Juwai IQI KUALA LUMPUR, May 21 — This year, I coined the term “Fabulous Five” (MITPV) to describe the five economies poised to shape ASEAN’s macroeconomic and investment trajectory over the next 10 to 20 years — Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines and Vietnam. Collectively, these five economies represent the undisputed…

After Islamabad: The Rise of ASEAN, GCC and Africa as the New Global Growth Triad

tgnoor6 months ago6 months ago05 mins

Reduced geopolitical tail risks after the US-Iran talks are triggering a structural rotation of global capital toward ASEAN, the Gulf and Africa — regions increasingly positioned to anchor the next phase of global growth, says Juwai IQI Global Chief Economist Shan Saeed. By TENGKU NOOR SHAMSIAH TENGKU ABDULLAH KUALA LUMPUR, April 16 – The conclusion…

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A Haze Treaty At 24 And A Region Still Holding Its Breath

# GLOBAL MACRO RISK INDEX: TEN FAULT LINES RESHAPING THE WORLD ECONOMY

Complementarity Over Competition: The Five Economies Reshaping ASEAN

TO REDUCE GLOBAL POVERTY, INVESTING IN GIRLS’ EDUCATION IS SMARTEST ECONOMIC STRATEGY

THE FABULOUS FIVE — ASEAN’S STRATEGIC ECONOMIC NUCLEUS

After Islamabad: The Rise of ASEAN, GCC and Africa as the New Global Growth Triad